Charlie Carrel Analyzes Multi-Street Bluff From €100K Super High Roller
Charlie Carrel is among the many talented tournament players who have been battling for high roller titles at the PokerStars Championship presented by Monte-Carlo Casino® over the last week-and-a-half.
Carrel has multiple high roller wins on his résumé already, including one he earned two years ago in Monaco in the €25,500 High Roller during that year's European Poker Tour Grand Final.
While taking part in the same €25K High Roller event at PSC Monte Carlo this week, Carrel took a moment to provide an interesting hand analysis of a hand he played with David Peters during the €100,000 Super High Roller won by Bryn Kenney.
The hand took place right at the very end of Day 1 — the last hand of the day, in fact.
Dealt A♠6♠ in the hijack seat, Carrel opened with a raise. Peters then three-bet from the button and when the action got back to Carrel he called.
Carrel talks about how calling from out of position with such a hand is somewhat loose, but also notes how factors such as the fact that it was the end of the day (and a redraw would mean being at a new table soon) and the overall toughness of the field influenced that decision.
The flop fell Kx7x4x with two hearts, and both players checked. Peters checked quickly, and Carrel talks about how already he'd begun to narrow Peters's range.
The turn was a 3x, bringing a second flush draw (not spades), and Carrel chose to bet two-thirds pot with his gutshot draw and overcard. As he explains, the bet was made with an intention to double-barrel with a push on the river.
Peters called, then the river was the 7x, pairing the board while also bringing in the backdoor flush. Carrel explains how the card fit well with a number of possible hands he could be perceived as having given his line.
Here Carrel interestingly outlines how his hand and action — including a river shove — might be perceived by an opponent holding queens or jacks (hands Carrel suspects Peters has).
He talks about how Peters would likely respond to a push if he had a heart in his pocket pair (i.e., a blocker to that flopped flush draw that ultimately didn't complete), thinking a fold would be more likely as less bluffs would be in Carrel's range. He also thinks Peters would fold queens or jacks a decent percentage of the time even without a heart in his hand, since Carrel has enough KxXx hands in his range, along with other value hands.
Listen to Carrel's further analysis of each street's action in the hand, as well as his additional comments regarding the series and the ongoing €25K High Roller.
Stick with PokerNews for coverage of the final day of PokerStars Championship Monaco where both the €25,750 High Roller and €5,300 Main Event play down to a winner today.
